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Friday, 22 April 2011

Election 2011 : The Manifestos Part Four - Our Communities

If you want another reminder of what I'm grading the policies on, you can find out here.


Culture, Heritage & The Welsh Language

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Natural Plaid territory once more, you would think. However, the manifestos threw up a few surprises this time, perhaps from a unlikely quarter.

The Conservative manifesto pledges in this section are excellent. The cynic in me believes that they are desperately trying to prove they are really, really Welsh, perhaps with good reason. The pledges are not only ambitious, but specific. They want to target specific events to Wales - including the Champions League final - commit themselves to a St. David’s Day national holiday and the creation of a "national archive". Rebranding Wales as a "World-class tourist destination" is one of those pie-in-the-sky, feel-good, promises once again. The creation of a Welsh language "charter mark" is a good idea, though something similar has bee tried before in "Iaith Gwaith". One of the most ambitious pledges, perhaps in any of the manifestos, I've left off. The Conservatives want 1 million Welsh speakers by 2031 and 1.5million by 2051. I think that's completely impossible. The ambition and vision though would get an A+ from me.

In fairness this was never going to be one of Labour's strong hands, but they hold their own. Committing to free swimming lessons is fine as we try to combat obesity, but it's not really eye catching. Likewise there are glib pledges to "maintain Welsh as a living language" and "build on the importance of creative industries". We all want that. Tell us how you'll do it! Promoting Wales for sporting events is welcome. Labour have mentioned a bid for the 2026 Commonwealth Games, which is as good as it gets in terms of attracting a "big event", so that gets a thumbs up, though I do foresee difficulties in delivering it. Their most interesting pledge is to "ensure UK broadcasters make a fair share of their programmes in Wales". I like the sentiment. However, I think it's right to assume that without broadcasting devolution, Labour could never deliver it.

The Lib Dems continue their "empowerment" theme with ensuring a "rights based" approach to Welsh. That's all well and good, and welcome of course, but some of the more militant Welsh language activists could take that to mean something more than it is. The rest of their pledges however, are a little bland. More "pledges of support" for grassroots sport, the Arts Council and for UNESCO bids but it's all a little bit "meh". I'm not sure how they can ensure editorial independence for S4C without the political powers to back it up.

Plaid join the Conservatives in wanting Wales to be a "World-class tourist destination". Again it's pretty vacant, albeit welcome. When Plaid want a living Welsh language, you know they mean it. An innovation fund and "increasing the provision of Welsh language services" would help things, even if it is going to get the militant monoglots foaming at the mouth about "spending £10trillion of taxpayers money on Cymraegification". If it gave such people a stroke or two, it wouldn't bother me that much. A "Festival of Wales" is mooted modelled on Scotland's recent "homecoming", but we effectively have that annually with the Eisteddfod. Their meatiest pledge is to devolve broadcasting. I think they might be able to go someway towards that, especially if it happens in Scotland. I don't think devolving it is going to solve the problem of a weak Welsh media though.

Overall, the Conservatives have a vision and have spelled it out as clearly as possible. This is also natural territory for Plaid and I think both probably have the best interests and best pledges regarding Welsh culture this time around.

Social Justice

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"Social Justice" is an area that's as reliant on success all the other policy areas as it is on specific attention paid to itself. Of course, the big player in social justice – welfare- is a reserved matter for Westminster. That doesn't mean the Assembly can't have an impact.

Three of the parties; Conservatives, Labour and Plaid commit themselves to eliminating child poverty by 2020. Laudable, ambitious, but foolish. It ain't gonna happen guys. Set targets by all means, but keep them realistic or it'll bite you on the bum. Some of the poverty issues in parts of Wales are entrenched, and won't be solved by the Assembly alone under it's current remit.

The Conservatives "Big Society" comes into play a bit more here, but it's not convincing. Protecting free bus passes and prescriptions for older people is playing to the gallery really. Nobody can really argue against some sort of concession scheme for the Armed Forces either considering how badly led down they have been by New Labour in Westminster, despite expecting to fight on several fronts. Establishing a "right to respite" for carer's is interesting and would certainly be welcomed with open arms. Carers do a fantastic job and are unsung heroes.

Labour have some interesting ideas. Gender quotas for public appointments for example. Didn't they get their fingers burned the last time they tried that? Don't they ever learn? I don't have an issue with their commitment towards children's rights, proposing a new "Children's Act". Huw Lewis's work in this area has been good, despite the issues with Huw Lewis himself. Providing more "advice and support" is laudable, but it's never really that effective is it? You see help centres set up everywhere but things never really improve, other than the unemployment figures and the profits for leaflet printer companies. Funding an extra 500 PCSO's? Ah, "bobbies on the beat". 500.....so that's about an extra 20-odd per local authority. 500 full police officers might make a difference, but as is becoming depressingly familiar, Welsh Labour don't like responsibility. No mention of devolving policing. It's effectively a subsidy to Westminster from Cardiff Bay.

The Lib Dems have a relatively strong set of pledges. They've avoided the mistake of including the 2020 poverty pledge. Domestic abuse training would make a difference, but is more administrative than pledge worthy. Ensuring children get financial literacy lessons is good and overdue, likewise extending the duty of care to age 21 and increasing the Children's Commissioner powers. Creating a "National Substance Abuse taskforce" though is, like Labour's well-intentioned "providing more support" pledges, better news for printer cartridge companies than those who care about social justice.

Plaid have focussed a lot on children this election and have fallen into the 2020 trap. Like Labour, they want to protect "Flying Start" and improve childcare overall. Childcare is something that needs to be tackled to address inactivity in the Valleys for instance. Wanting a new law on substance misuse treatment access is very topical, as we hear how drug addicts in disability benefit trial areas of England are being transferred to the dole - without any improved access to treatment. Only Plaid and the Lib Dems make any mention of devolving criminal justice, to their credit.

On balance, this should be natural Labour territory, but their lack of imagination leads me to conclude that in their manifesto overall, they are trying to under-promise and over-deliver. They have an OK record in this area - why so shy? The Lib Dems have taken this from them, perhaps for the simple reason of wanting some devolution of criminal justice (which is inevitable down the line despite what Labour may appear to want). Being in a position in Westminster to deliver that is also an advantage.

Local Government, Regeneration & Planning

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Local Government is one of those unglamorous areas, along with regeneration and planning, that never really get the attention it requires, but can make a huge impact on peoples lives. None of the parties seem to have really got down to the dirty business of reducing the number of local authorities in Wales, although they want varying levels of reforms in how they do business.

The Conservatives wheel out the "big society" once again. They're going for the NIMBY vote, with pledges to improve community involvement in how their area is run, strengthening the role of community councils in planning decisions and a "Community Involvement Bill". Sometimes, unpopular planning decisions have to be passed for the greater good - no matter how much is hurts. Some of the Conservative measures would be a backward step in my view. I like the idea of directly elected mayors, though I don't think it should be confined to 4 local authorities. It isn't really a Welsh thing to have clear executive responsibility, we prefer to do things in committees, which is part of the problem.

Labour focus on regeneration. Wanting to promote mixed use development is fine, but that....um already happens. It's no surprise that Labour don't want to fiddle too much in local government, and the rather dull "review of scrutiny" pledge is the height of their ambitions there. Cancelling a council tax re-evaluation is easy enough, but it's not radical enough. "Tidy Towns" is a good enough scheme, and it can and does make a difference, but again it's "meh". Labour's best pledge is £1.2billion towards improving housing standards across Wales. Ambitious, but deliverable? I'm not sure. It might be too little too late.

Lib Dem's campaign to cut red tape continues, but I don't see what cutting local government regulations will achieve really, there are more fundamental problems. Like the Tories they want to "empower communities" but it's a double-edged sword, especially if these "empowered communities" decide to use their power to block Lib Dem community energy generation. Their other pledges are better, STV for local elections and allowing councils to raise finance against future tax revenue are bright, new policies. The Lib Dems also have a commitment to dealing with houses of multiple occupation (HMO's), which, to be honest, blight some of our seaside towns - especially in north Wales.

I'm not sure if Plaid's pledge regarding "greater collaboration" between local authorities does in fact read "reconfiguration of local authorities", if so, it's a better pledge than it first appears to be. Reforming Communities First is needed of course, but there have been rumblings of such for a while and nobody seems to have the will to do it. Overhauling the planning system to favour community energy generation makes far more sense than "NIMBY charters". The 200% Council Tax on second homes would be welcomed in Y Fro I'm sure. "Rent now buy later" for first time buyers is certainly novel and innovative, but similar schemes - like shared ownership - have tried and failed largely.

The Lib Dems have the edge over Plaid , by pledging quite clearly to do something about how councillors are elected by bringing in STV. I think they got the balance right between empowering communities and keeping a sense of scale. The only thing that I regret is missing is a much needed local government reconfiguration.

The final part tomorrow looks at five key pledges from each of the minor parties standing in May's election.

Thursday, 21 April 2011

Election 2011 : The Manifestos Part Three - Green Wales

If you want another reminder of what I'm grading the policies on, you can find out here.

Energy & The Environment

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While control over large scale energy projects remains a reserved matter for Westminster, Wales cannot truly take advantage of its resources to the same extent Scotland has. Each of the parties has some sort of support for devolving big energy projects. Labour and the Conservatives state up to 100MW, while Plaid want to devolve all natural resources.

The Conservatives have a very good, practical, pledge to create "blue belts" to prevent building on flood plains. This is long overdue. Aiming for 100% renewables by 2025 is laudable, but not
achievable under the current devolution settlement. If Wales doesn't have enough of a say in how energy is generated, what's to stop more non-renewable energy schemes being "forced" on us? Insulating every home in Wales is another excellent, but definitely achievable, pledge. Increasing penalties for environmental crimes is pointless without the legal jurisdiction to back it up. The Conservatives definitely show their green credentials this time.

Labour have a good track record on the environment in Welsh government. Their aim for a "one planet" Wales is ambitious, but perhaps a little pie in the sky. Marine conservation zones are not really exciting, but could make a big difference in places like Cardigan Bay. Merging the relevant environmental agencies is a rational pledge, and it would serve Wales better to have a single environment agency with sharper teeth. "Supporting action against climate change" is hollow, if welcome. All in all Labour have a decent set of proposals.

The Lib Dems have some novel policies, such as publishing a "carbon budget", which would make it a lot easier to see if the Welsh Government are practicing what they preach. Doubling money to fight fuel poverty is a little boring, but essential, and likely
achievable. Generating energy closer to where it's needed seems to be a core aim, and to a large extent I think it's a good idea. Whether some communities, for example, those seeing a "quiet life", would appreciate community power generation is another matter. Not bad at all.

Plaid aim to reduce carbon
emissions by 40% in devolved areas. A realistic target, and past Welsh governments have certainly worked towards it. Carbon budgeting in the public sector is a related pledge and would likely help achieve it, if not better it. Plaid also have a pledge on micro generation and home insulation, covering ground already trodden by the Conservative. Another practical pledge. "Expanding carbon zones" is a bit more of that policy wonk speech creeping in, I'm not sure if it could really make a difference other than prove they are "doing something". Their stand out pledge is the devolution of all natural resources and energy. If we want parity with Scotland it's essential, but I don't see Westminster agreeing seeing how much of Wales' energy is exported to England. What lets them down, are the obvious contradictions
on nuclear power "policy", explored in more detail on Syniadau.

This is perhaps the first section where all of the parties have made impressive pitches in their manifestos in an attempt to "out-Green" each other. I think though, in balance,
Labour have both the track record and best policies to deliver. If they can combine their ambition with Plaid's pledge to devolve natural resources and energy then they're on to a winner.


Rural Affairs


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The Conservatives run with the theme of "giving power back to communities". They want to ensure that rural areas receive adequate access to public services and give communities the opportunity to run their facilities. Not bad, but the whole "Big Society" thing is becoming a damp squib. Protecting access to woodland isn't exciting, but it's welcome that the Welsh Conservatives don't want to go down the same road the UK Government tried to follow. "River user
licensing" makes sense but it's fairly bland, as is maintaining CAP payments. No real reforms then?

Rural affairs isn't Labour's strong point as you might expect. Many of their pledges are vacant promises with no real way to know if they are being delivered or not. For example "improving access to rural services", "continuing to support less favourable areas", and "supporting Welsh food producers". All fine enough, but with no indication of how they'd deliver them. Another commitment to better broadband in rural areas is made, but we've heard that before.

The Lib Dems do, on the surface of it, seem to "get" rural areas. Wanting to reform Glastir and focusing on diversification of farms and rural businesses is good, if uninspiring. However well-intentioned a "Community Bill of Rights" to arrest rural decline is, if people don't want to live there, people will move. No bit of paper is going to make that all better. Reviewing the cost of service delivery in rural areas is needed, and perhaps overdue, but it could well produce an answer the Lib Dems don't want. Considering their "war on waste" theme, the Lib Dems seem very keen to unleash the bureaucrats on bean counting exercises and audits. How much would that cost?

This is fairly natural Plaid territory. Elin Jones's stance on Bovine TB eradication may well ruffle a few feathers, but probably not farmers, likewise maintaining direct payments. It's all practical stuff, not revolutionary. Increasing the number of young people in farming is vital if the rural economy is to thrive, I'd still like to hear more on how that would come about. Overhauling the planning system to encourage sustainable rural communities is a good idea, and beats making vacant promises or "Bills of Rights". Their best pledge is the catchy, if glib "square meal, square mile" pledge. They don't want to go as far as the Greens in localising the food chain, but public sector backing of locally produced food could help spur local producers to better things.

It's no surprise that Plaid appear to be on top here, though I don't think any of the parties have been radical enough when it comes to rural affairs. Things like high fuel prices and farming subsidies are more UK and EU matters than Welsh Assembly, no matter what the Welsh parties may promise.

Part Four looks at "Our Communities"; the parties policies on social justice, heritage & culture and local government, regeneration and planning.



Wednesday, 20 April 2011

Election 2011 : The Manifestos Part Two - Working Wales



If you want another reminder of what I'm grading the policies on, you can find out here.


The Economy

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It's common knowledge that the Welsh economy has some significant issues. Some of those problems are hangovers from previous recessions, or in some cases, the Great Depression. Others are how the Welsh Government and private companies relate to one another. There's an awful lot of cynicism and mistrust between both. Although I don't subscribe to the knee-jerk view that Wales is somehow a "Third World" economy, there are problems that need addressing.

All of the parties propose some sort of continuation of business rate relief or some kind of business rate reform. Being the only real (partial) tax power the Assembly has, this is unsurprising.

The Conservatives are pushing hard for private sector growth. A completely sensible course of action. Their pledge to scrap and taper business rates would no doubt be popular, however, UK taxes like VAT, will have a far wider impact on the day-to-day running of business that business rates. A manufacturing strategy is long overdue, but not ground-breaking stuff. Likewise, a business-government partnership. Private sector led skills academies are another good idea in principle, however the previous One Wales government have invested in skills academies before - like the construction academy in Pencoed. Contracting out business support is lazy, if it's public money being used, it has to be in some way public sector led. There's too much of a rose-tinted view of the old WDA. All in all though, not bad at all.

Labour's best pledges relate to rolling out high-speed broadband and improving links between universities and the private sector. Good stuff. However, things begin to break down with their other pledges, a "Jobs Fund" seems a short-term solution to a long-term problem. "Fostering a new relationship between business and social partners" as well as "creating an entrepreneurial society" reeks of policy wonk. I would've expected better, clearly spelled out pledges from Labour this time around.

The Lib Dems leading economic pledge are £2000 grants for companies to train unemployed youngsters. Like Labour's Jobs Fund, it's short term, and isn't very different from what's been tried before. Their really excellent stand-out pledge - and one of the best of the whole lot - is to establish a Welsh Stock Exchange. That isn't a nationalist speaking, it's a sensible way of attracting more private finance into Welsh business. Whether they can get 50 companies or so to sign up to it is another matter. Being a scientist, I especially like their pledge to create a pooled research budget. Aside from their "headline" pledge - which is a bit crap - alongside a token nod to "cutting red tape", the rest of it is actually pretty good.

Plaid probably have the most eye catching pledge regarding the economy in "Build4Wales". I can foresee difficulties in setting up such a company, but it's an imaginative, bordering on radical, solution to raising finance for infrastructure. I'm surprised they beat the Tories to it. A lot of their other pledges are fairly run-of-the-mill, but well thought out, such as creating more apprenticeships and their long-term pledge to improve broadband, mobile phone coverage and wi-fi coverage. That seems to be something of a pet project of Ieuan Wyn Jones, but it is good. All in all it's a very good set of proposals but "Build4Wales" stands head and shoulders above the rest.

To conclude, the Conservatives and Plaid both seem to have the right mix of proposals to really improve the Welsh economy, though the Lib Dems proposal for a Welsh Stock Exchange should be taken seriously as well. Labour haven't really stepped up to the plate this time.


Transport

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It's gratifying that all of the parties are united in wanting to electrify the Welsh rail network, to varying degrees. Labour only commit themselves to "arguing for" London-Swansea, the Conservatives, Lib Dems and Plaid also want the Valley Lines electrified, with Plaid also wanting to investigate electrifying the North Wales Mainline.

The Lib Dems, Labour and Plaid also want some sort of reform to how the railways are run. The Lib Dems preferring to renegotiate the Arriva contract. Plaid, and in a damascene conversion, Labour, prefer a new limited-by-guarantee company to run the railways.

The Conservative transport ideas lack imagination. Their pledge for a North American air link is welcome, as is a link between North Wales and Liverpool. However, issues regarding state aid to non public service air routes, and the layout of track in North East Wales, make these pledges hard to deliver. "Working to improve spending efficiency" in transport projects is simple stuff, however cost-overruns are a fact of life with big transport projects, especially if the terrain is difficult. Freezing the Severn Bridge tolls is low-hanging-fruit however eye-catching it appears. Don't freeze....scrap.

Labour disappoint once more. They focus on glib phrases like "improving integrated transport", but what does that actually mean? Integrated transport has improved greatly under the Assembly, but not far enough. They don't seem to want to commit themselves to anything when it comes to transport other than following the National Transport Plan. The Wales Coastal Path is a great asset, but a transport policy it is not, likewise improving cycling routes - as good as that is.

The Lib Dems are unique in putting a timescale for electrifying the Valley Lines - 2014. Good. Re-regulating bus services is dry-stuff, but would no doubt help rural communities and those communities along "unprofitable" routes. Another good, if dull policy, just as rationalising the transport bodies is. Their silliest pledge is to scrap the North-South air link. It was going so well until then. I know it's deeply unpopular amongst the Lib Dems in their "war on waste", but it's fantastic value for money. It puts Wales' most distant part within an hour of Cardiff for around £1-2million a year. That sort of money wouldn't make any difference to North-South rail service, and would build about 1/2 a mile of new road - which might cut a few milliseconds of the car journey.

Plaid know that devolving Network Rail functions is crucial to getting any real improvement to the railways, this is something the other parties seem to have missed, or buried somewhere in their manifestos. Despite being a "Plaid" brief for the last 4 years, their transport plans - other than those for the railways, which are great - are a little staid. Maintaining concessionary bus fares for example, and "improving the road network in line with the National Transport Plan". Improving infrastructure for electric vehicles is laudable, but the fact the technology isn't there yet for mass use, means it could be a wasted pledge however ambitious it might sound.

Plaid probably have the transport section sewn up. Other than the universal desire to see the railways electrified to varying degrees, none of the parties have come up with anything that stands out - other than the yawn-inducing pledges of freezing bridge tolls and scrapping air links.

Finance

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There's an awful lot of overlapping between the four main parties when it comes to Assembly finance. All the main parties want reforms to how Wales is funded. Obviously, being in government in Westminster would make the Conservatives and Lib Dems the best placed to actually deliver that. Only Labour are opposed to fiscal powers for the Assembly.

The Conservatives focus on enterprise and generating wealth. No surprise there. An "Enterprise Bill" is an interesting concept, but I'm not sure how it would work in practice. Can you really legislate to create wealth? Their audacious pledge to boost Wales' economy to 100% of the UK average per capita stands out, but perhaps for the wrong reasons. I don't expect they will ever, in a thousand years be able to deliver it. It's unrealistic. It would require growth well above and beyond that of the UK as a whole to close the gap significantly. I admire the ambition, but sometimes it's best to set attainable goals, say 85% by 2030. "Armchair auditors". Yawn.

Labour want to run away from any responsibility. Their flat refusal to seek some sort of fiscal power is child-like and lazy. The rest of their fiscal proposals aren't too bad though. A new capital expenditure fund is novel, but not ground breaking, as are increased collaboration in public service delivery and flexible models of investment. They can all work, and be delivered, but will it be enough to make a difference? I'm not convinced.

The Lib Dems "war on waste" continues. It's just done to death that's all. We all dislike government excess and waste, opposing it is a flat, meaningless statement not a policy in itself. Using EU funds more strategically is essential, and I'm pleased the Lib Dems bring it up, but it's not groundbreaking. Publishing details of expenditure over £25,000 would please anoraks who want to know how much the Assembly is spending on printer toner, but again it's flat and pointless. Their best pledge is for tax varying powers in line with Scotland. Finally! The Lib Dems frustrate in the swing from crap policies to ambitious, even great ones.

Plaid, unsurprisingly want Barnett Reform. And the birds go tweet. Wanting a lower corporation tax rate is doable, and would surely be welcomed, but I'm not sure Westminster would agree with that. Pledging to "protect spending" sounds good, but could turn out to be poor in practice. Plaid also seem to be the only party to prominently mention securing a new round of Objective One funding. I don't like our reliance on these funds, hence the "E" grade for innovation. However, given the state of the Welsh economy, it would be welcome help. Community finance is something they share with Labour, however the scale of such schemes might not be enough to take the economy to new heights.

I don't think any party really stands out. I probably have to go for the Conservatives, as they would have the sway in Westminster to see, at least some of their pledges met. I can't help but admire their ambition for where they want the Welsh economy to go in terms of GVA, even if it is a largely pointless exercise.

Tomorrow I look at "Green Wales" - the parties' policies on energy & the environment and rural affairs.

Tuesday, 19 April 2011

Election 2011: The Manifestos Part One - Public Services



If you want to know what I'm grading the policies on, you can find out here.



Health and Social Services


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Normally, health is the key concern in Wales. At this election however, it appears to have taken a back seat to education. All of the parties want some sort of flexibility in the way health services are delivered, and all of them want improvements to cancer services. Labour and the Liberal Democrats have specifically mentioned organ donation opt-outs, but I'm sure all parties back that policy.


The Conservatives are keen to point out that they would ring fence NHS funding, this would leave them open to attack over probable cuts elsewhere. There's nothing pledged that we haven't heard before from the Conservatives, for example reintroducing prescription fees. It's fairly weak stuff all in all.


Labour have played it safe. They've included many easy to deliver, practical but unambitious pledges such as zero tolerance to hospital infections. They also want to introduce stricter ambulance targets. Easier said than done. Poor ambulance response times are as much about geography and topography than any sort of systematic problem. That pledge could come back to bite them.


The Lib Dems seem to be focussing heavily on "waste". Every party wants to cut down on "waste" and although the Lib Dems have put it at the heart of their manifesto, they have no real ideas how they are going to do it, especially as they want to establish an "Office of Health Spending". More bean counters? Their Air Ambulance pledge is a good, if unambitious one, it makes sense that a country as sparsely populated as Wales has a solid air ambulance service. The personal care fund is something new, and I'm sure it could make a difference to many peoples lives, but they are playing with fire with that pledge. "Privatisation via the back door", I can hear the unions chant now. A bit like school vouchers.


Plaid Cymru have a smorgasbord of overlapping pledges with the other parties. Their stand out pledge is that for a "personal health plan" to aid in disease prevention. It's a good idea, but they might need to convince GPs of that. Though they might be able to do this with their pledge to renegotiate NHS contracts. Scrapping the Welsh Ambulance Trust makes sense as well, but I'm not convinced it would improve matters that much. Similarly, it's unclear if Westminster would supersede Plaid's pledge over minimum alcohol pricing. Ring-fencing mental health service funding is laudable, but possibly the wrong strategy.


In conclusion, all of the parties have deliverable policies but none of them are a "clear winner" here. Its steady as she goes stuff.


Education


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As alluded to before, education is the key issue at this election. The poor PISA results have inspired each of the parties to come up with some solid pledges. With the controversy over tuition fees in England, higher education is playing a bigger role than it otherwise would have, which throws up a few interesting policy dilemmas for the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats in particular.


All of the parties want some sort of school funding reform, with the Lib Dems preferring a targeted approach.


The Conservatives have made the mistake of comparing pencils with England. There's nothing wrong with wanting to close the attainment gap, but there are far more fundamental issues at stake here. Building more schools isn't an answer, it's what Labour and Labour-Plaid have been doing the last decade. The Conservative stand out pledge is the "Middle Phase". It's at this crucial 8-13 year old stage where the academic, the vocational and the disruptive start to appear. A Middle Phase would be a good policy and could help turn things around, but it's a slow burner. Funding schools directly also makes a lot of sense. However, their policy on tuition fees is unlikely to make them any friends. I think the previous One Wales government got the balance right on that one.


Two Labour pledges stand out for me : making teaching a "Masters Level" profession and grading schools. I agree with both, and think they could go some way to turning things around. I don't think it's a bad thing to give schools a better idea of where they are compared to others, it's when it gets to English-style levels of obsession about "choice" and catchment areas that things begin to break down. "More funding for schools" is a hollow promise. I don't think any party can honestly say they can ring-fence anything in the current climate. Sticking by their "freebie" school breakfasts is eye-rolling stuff. The other education pledges alongside it shows they can come up with better than that.


The Lib Dems have made a big deal of the "funding gap between Wales and England", sometimes to their own detriment (as highlighted in more detail here and here). A pupil premium is a decent idea, but isn't it just "throwing money at the problem"? Interestingly they're not following the tuition fees policy of their UK colleagues, but seem to agree with the One Wales approach. If they can make this clearer, it could spare them the wrath of the student voters. Ensuring people can study their first A-Level for free? Wow. Thanks. The juiciest pledge is that to reform the national curriculum. I honestly believe that this is the area that lets Wales down the most, and reforms to it would be a good thing.


One of Plaid Cymru's most ambitious targets is to eliminate illiteracy by 2020. If it would be as cheap as they claim it is (£9 per child, per year), then it's an excellent pledge, and one of the best put forward. I question whether it could be done though. Backing the One Wales approach to tuition fees and increasing attainment in STEM subjects in bread-and-butter stuff - nothing to get too excited about. Zero-tolerance approach to poor teaching is good, and long overdue, but I don't think it beats Labour's Master's Level profession approach. It would certainly drive up standards, I would hope.


All in all, the main parties haven't ripped up the rule book when it comes to education, which is a real shame as it needs doing desperately. There are some good noises from each of the parties, but Plaid's pledge to eliminate illiteracy and shake up teaching standards gives them the edge over Labour in this area.


Tomorrow it's "Working Wales", where I look at the manifesto pledges relating to the economy, transport and Assembly finance.

Election 2011 : The BBC Machynlleth Debate

Well, that was better than last week.

That had more of the feel of an election debate, although I'm becoming annoyed that UK issues are still being dragged in, both by the candidates and the audience. Betsan Powys should well know if something is devolved or not and the questions at least should try and stay within the confines of the election at hand. What's the point of asking a fuel-price question for example?

What the Chuckle Brothers are up to in Westminster has no bearing on this election. I want to hear the parties take on our own issues here.

Elin Jones showed some of the experience she's gained from holding a cabinet position. She gave assured and straight-to-the-point answers, albeit monotone, to the questions. She only slipped up on the issue surrounding the NHS in Mid Wales, when she failed to mention cross-border services in her answer. Other than that, she did a very good job. 7.5/10

I listed Vaughan Gething as a "one to watch" in my Assembly Awards a few weeks ago and he showed why I'd done so. He's going to be a great asset to the Labour party if elected, as they lose one in the form of Jane Davidson. He was clearly the most polished public speaker but was prone to wandering off-topic or using hyperbole. For example he said Plaid Cymru's "scaremongering" about the centralisation of health services was "disgraceful". Well, centralisation of health services was a Labour policy until 2007. He defended Labour's record well and it was an impressive introduction to the Welsh public. 7.5/10

Peter Black is one of the better opposition AM's and he gave a good account of himself last night, just as his colleague Aled Roberts did in Wrexham last Monday. He did try and get too much into his answers, and at times, it was hard to keep up with him. We hear a lot about the Lib Dem's grants to business policy, but if that is the height of the Lib Dem's economic ambition then that's a worry. It's not as if grants haven't been tried before. Another good Lib Dem performance but spoiled by a depressing "talk Wales down" closing statement. 7/10

Last week, it was Sandy Mewies who toed the party line, and dragged UK-issues into the debate. This time it was Lisa Francis, who did so within a minute of the debate starting. Poor show. Other than getting a cheer for the done-to-death policy of "giving power back to teachers", I was left unimpressed. All I remember is that she seemed rather negative throughout and didn't say a lot,  but in fairness she didn't have the chance to. 5/10

Last week UKIP's Nathan Gill spoke as the "token" minor party representative, but said nothing of any real consequence. This week though a special mention goes to the Green Party's Jake Griffiths. He criticised the Welsh Government's environmental record as essentially "all talk no action". The environment is one of the areas the WAG can point to great success in, especially with regard recycling, water quality and conservation. If he means energy policy, then he must realise, and the Welsh Green Party must realise, that large energy projects, whether renewable or non-renewable ARE NOT DEVOLVED. 4/10

Monday, 18 April 2011

Election 2011 : The Manifestos Examined

Over the next week, I'll be posting my thoughts on the manifestos in detail.

I've been making a note of the five key, standout pledges in 10 policy areas, and grading them on 4 factors listed below. For each of the unrepresented parties, I've just picked 5 general standout policies.

Ambition (Amb)

Policies that "aim high", empower Wales - or the Welsh people - in a positive way, will be graded highly. Those policies that are low-brow, clichéd or don't take full advantage of the Assembly's new powers will be graded lowly.

Innovation (Inn)

Policies that are new and radical compared to previous Assembly policy will be graded highly. Policies that are a continuation of existing policy, minor administrative changes or "hot air" will grade lowly.

Deliverability (Del)

Policies that can, in my opinion, be easily delivered within the powers, budget and timescale of the coming Assembly term will be graded highly. Be careful. If combined with low grades for Ambition and Innovation it means that the policy is still crap. For example, pledging to buy new cutlery for Ty Hywel's canteen can easily be delivered, but it lacks any sort of ambition or innovation.

Likewise, overly ambitious, even visionary, policies or targets can score low grades for deliverability but high grades elsewhere.

Effectiveness (Eff)

This factor is based on how quickly, and how fundamentally the policy will change Wales for the better. Quick and noticeable, or very effective policies will grade highly. Those policies that will only be noticeable to political anoraks, bean counters and the "Bay Bubble" - for example, changes to how the Assembly organises itself - will grade lowly. Policies that will take an awful long time to come to fruition will also grade lowly. For example, targets for delivery in the 2020's or 2030's.

Grading

Each policy will be graded in each factor. Each grade has a different colour. If there are lots of greens (A & B), I think it's a good policy. If there are lots of yellows (C), it's average. Oranges (D) should be kept to a minimum and reds (E) avoided. An F grade (black mark) means the policy is probably completely outside of the Assembly's remit or utterly ludicrous and is worthless in the manifesto.

A – Excellent
B – Good/Effective
C – Satisfactory
D -  Poor
E – Undesirable
F – Failure


The Manifestos Examined Schedule


Part One: Key Public Services

Health & Social Services, Education

Part Two: Working Wales

The Economy, Transport, Finance

Part Three: Green Wales

Environment & Energy, Rural Affairs

Part Four: Our Communities

Culture, Heritage & Welsh Language, Social Justice, Local Government, Regeneration & Planning

Part Five: The Minor Parties Review

The five standout policies from the following parties standing in the election; UKIP, Green Party, BNP, Christian Voice, Trade Union & Socialist Coalition, Socialist Labour, Llais Gwynedd, Communist Party, English Democrats.

Sunday, 17 April 2011

Election 2011 : Weak Too

Another exciting week of electioneering in the Welsh election campaign. At least things are finally starting to heat up a little bit. The manifestos have been launched, but undue attention seems to be paid to the spelling and grammar in them rather than the meatier contents. No wonder education is such a key issue.

Over the next week I'll be looking in detail at what each of the four main parties have put forward, as well as the key pledges from the minor and (currently) unrepresented parties. I'll be explaining how I'll be doing this in more detail tomorrow.

Anyway, here's a quick summary of this weeks election events:

Conservatives:
  • Attacked Labour-Plaid's economic record, particularly their failure to attract more inward investment compared to Scotland. Nick Bourne said "more imaginative policies pursued in other parts of the UK have been more successful in in raising prosperity levels and creating new employment opportunities."
  • Pledges to keep small schools open. On a visit to Ysgol Gynradd Llwyngwril in Gwynedd, Nick Bourne said that the uncertainty felt by pupils and parents was "unacceptable".
  • Unveiled a campaign poster, saying that "Labour brought us to the brink of bankruptcy".
  • Launched their manifesto, pledging a "new voice" for Wales and concentrating on the economy. They say they believe Wales could equal UK GVA per capita by 2030 and unveiled several pledges relating to business rates, higher education and transport, including a direct Cardiff-North America air link.


Labour:
  • Launched their manifesto in Barry, promising "fresh hope" to Wales, more apprenticeships, flexible primary healthcare, more funding for schools and extra PCSO's........but were left red faced when Llafur was misspelled in the Welsh version of their manifesto.



Liberal Democrats:
  • Launched their manifesto in Aberaeron, "Wales can do better", promising a "radical and positive programme" and to cut government waste......but were left red-faced when spelling and grammar errors in both English and Welsh were published.
  • Have accused Carwyn Jones of "misleading the public" over a £2000 champagne reception and fundraiser held in London.
  • Have attacked David Cameron's immigration comments, with Kirsty Williams describing it as "dog whistle politics".

Plaid Cymru:
  • Launched their manifesto in Cardiff, entitled "Ambition is Critical".............but were left red-faced when the title was quoted as attributable to Dylan Thomas (an urban legend), when in fact came from a Swansea civil servant.
  • Have pledged to cut AM's pay by 10% and freeze it for the Assembly term.
  • Helen Mary Jones outlined some of their health and social services policies in the Western Mail, focusing on : community services, abolishing the all-Wales Ambulance Trust, protecting budgets for mental health, reviewing NHS contracts and an annual health check for early disease intervention.


Minor Parties:

BNP candidate for South Wales West, Sion Owens, was arrested after being filmed burning a Qur'an. He didn't face any charges. They also launched their manifesto in Wrexham to a large assembled crowd.

The Green Party launched their manifesto, pledging to phase out nuclear energy and provide more jobs in a low-carbon economy. They also posted an online video targeting Labour 2nd votes on the regional list.

Tuesday, 12 April 2011

Election 2011: The BBC Wrexham Debate

In all honesty, this wasn't great stuff.

There was an undercurrent of passive-aggressive hostility between the candidates, and amongst the audience, that didn't belong in an election debate. It was more like an episode of Question Time. I was disappointed.

Aled Roberts stood out as the best performer for me. He tried to avoid points scoring where he could and stuck to the facts. He didn't really give any pointers towards significant Lib Dem policies, which I thought was the whole point of the debate. He answered confidently, and fluently, but was never tested and seemed to take it in his stride. 7/10

The photogenic Heledd Fychan gave an assured performance under some difficult questioning, one of which bordered on a slanging match between herself and a member of the audience over tuition fees. She seemed over-eager to interrupt at points, but you couldn't blame her considering some of the finger pointing that was going on, though Heledd was guilty of doing that herself. Not bad at all, but I would've liked to hear more Plaid policies. 6.5/10

Darren Millar was a walking manifesto and seemed to want to try and promote as many Conservative pledges as possible, even if they were unrelated to the questions asked. If the other debaters failed to get their policies out there, Darren was perhaps going too far in the opposite direction. I really wish that the Welsh Conservatives were a bit more positive about Wales though. Is it any wonder we lag behind when we're constantly told how crap we all are? It's self-fulfilling. 6.5/10

Sandy Mewies toed the party line by and large. She was one of the first to start dragging UK-issues, and the Westminster Coalition, into a Welsh election debate. A big no-no in my eyes. We didn't hear that much from her aside from the occasional Tory-bash, and a pledge relating to a Jobs Fund, which was quickly, and effectively, pounced upon by Aled Roberts. Despite having a fair bit of the audience on her side, she didn't make that much of an impact. 6/10

Sunday, 10 April 2011

Election 2011 - Week One (Election? What election!?)

I can completely understand that campaigns have been toned down this first week due to the untimely deaths of Brynle Williams and Mari Rees, however things have been quieter than I would've expected.

Apart from a few bitchy press releases by Labour and Plaid and the odd policy "announcement" (the muddled nature of some of them explored in detail by Syniadau) - not much has happened. With distractions like this and this due to dominate media coverage in the next month, next week is absolutely crucial IMHO in getting the message out to the Welsh electorate.

I'll be exploring the manifestos of every party in detail (including the minor parties), and grading the headline policies in each policy area. More details on that in the next few days/weeks. In the final week, I'll be making my predictions.

My last post on English devolution has proved rather popular. If any of our English friends have returned for this post, here's the kind of excitement YOU can have too. Politics doesn't get much bigger than this.

Anyway, here's a summary of what's happened in week one. Try to contain yourselves please:


Conservatives
:
  • Launched their Assembly campaign on the back of a visit by Prime Minister David Cameron to Swansea, pledging to protect NHS spending.
  • Publicised an "Armed Forces Card" at an event in Colwyn Bay.
  • Have pledged to freeze Severn bridge tolls for the next Assembly term.
  • Visited a greengrocer in Cardiff, where they highlighted a pledge abolish business rates for those with a ratable value of up to £12,000. Nick Bourne said he hopes this encourages more start-ups.

Labour:
  • Carwyn Jones said at a press conference that "up to 8 seats" are within Labour's grasp at the election and that they have been "pleasantly surprised" at the response they're getting in Preseli Pembrokeshire, Clwyd West (both currently Conservative-held seats) and Llanelli (Plaid Cymru). He also hinted that Labour would seek to rule alone if they win 31 seats.
  • Have reacted to a campaign by a group of "concerned citizens" calling themselves United and Welsh, who wish to "prevent Labour ruling alone". Labour have accused Plaid Cymru of being behind it.
  • Launched their campaign with five pledges relating to flexible access to primary health services, more apprenticeships and training for youngsters, better access to free childcare, more funding for schools and an extra 500 PCSO's.

Liberal Democrats:
  • Published a Montgomeryshire mini-manifesto. They have also made a promise to protect and expand Air Ambulance Services.
  • Formally launched their campaign on the subject of the economy, with a key pledge being to provide £2000 grants towards training for companies that take on young unemployed.
  • Nick Clegg joined the campaign trail, visiting different parts of Wales this week saying that the Lib Dems "didn't relish public spending cuts". He also said that the Lib Dems would ensure "a fair deal" for school children.

Plaid Cymru:
  • Attacked Labour's record with regard funding for Wales, saying they didn't do enough while in power at Westminster to come up with a new funding formula.
  • Launched their campaign on 4 key pledges including : the "Build for Wales" fund, a renegotiation of doctors and dentist contracts, the elimination of illiteracy in schools by 2020 and widened broadband and rail electrification schemes. Ieuan Wyn Jones added that Plaid are the only party that wants to "transform Wales, not simply to manage it".
  • At the official opening of a new campaign centre in Cardiff, Ieuan Wyn Jones said that the Welsh economy "needs to be strengthened" and that Plaid had the ideas to do that.

Minor Parties
:


The BNP are launching a fundraising drive, aiming to raise £100,000 towards their Assembly campaign. At the moment the total (on their website) stands at just under £20,000.

The Green Party (*sigh* "England & Wales") leader Caroline Lucas MP visited a solar panel plant in Pontyclun to highlight the job-creation potential for renewable energy. Welsh Green Party leader, Jake Griffiths, is looking to win a seat in via the South Wales Central regional list.

UKIP launched their Assembly campaign in Cardiff, highlighting that they no longer wanted to abolish the Assembly, but "improve it" by replacing the current 60 AM's with the 40 (soon to be 30) Welsh MP's.

Tuesday, 5 April 2011

The England Question

Paul Murphy MP (Lab, Torfaen) writes on Wales Home about the "English problem". That being, they lack some form of devolution settlement. Vast swathes of "UK" policy are now exclusively English, especially since the last strings tying Wales to the apron, with regard devolved matters, were cut in March.

"English votes for English matters" doesn't satisfy Paul. I think he is right in that respect. It's the quickest and cheapest way to deal with it, but there are all sorts of scenarios that would make it a complete dogs dinner.

For example, Labour could be in government at UK level relying wholly on Labour MPs from Scotland and Wales, but England could be overwhelmingly Conservative. Who would have the right to deal with bread and butter English-only matters like health and education? Who would run UK departments in this scenario? Would there be two executives in the Commons, a Prime Minister of the UK from Labour and a First Minister for England from the Conservatives swapping seats depending on what day it is?

There is a proposal for so-called "double majority" voting, where laws have to be passed by both the Commons at large and a majority of English MP's. This might go some way to solving the problem, but I doubt it would be satisfactory.

Then there's "EnglandandWales". Things like criminal justice, water and energy for example. Would there again be another Prime Minister for England and Wales matters? Based on how many seats the respective parties have on an Anglo-Welsh basis? Or would it be treated as an England-only matter, without the devolution of criminal justice etc. to Wales? I doubt any Conservative "First Minister" in England would want to give up one of the policy areas they are most associated with. The solution here is simply to devolve such matters to Wales. But would that require another referendum?

A devolved English Parliament? "Break-up of the Union".....you can here the cries now.

The problem is that England IS the Union. England is an elephant, Scotland is a Scottish terrier, Wales is a duck and Northern Ireland is a mouse caught in the teeth of a very ill-looking Celtic Tiger. It's a lop-sided Union and one of the reasons I believe it's becoming unworkable in its current unitary form.

Would an all-England Parliament be satisfied with the kinds of powers the devolved administrations currently have? It wouldn't have any sort of international clout. It wouldn't have any major tax-varying powers and it would spend most of it's time micromanaging a budget given to them by the UK Government. A budget that could actually dwarf the UK Government's once devolved and reserved matters are separated. That's another problem.

Where would it be based? How many elected members would it have (it would need to be several hundred surely)? What voting system would it use? All matters for the English people to decide of course, but not without some pain along the way I'd imagine.

The best solution, regarding English devolution in my view, would be devolved regional assemblies for England & Cornwall. Each with a nice manageable population of 5-10million (and Cornwall significantly less). Each of the them would be similar to the Scottish Parliament and the UK can move towards a proper federal system along the lines of Germany. However this raises even more problems.

Firstly regional devolution has been rejected once before, by the North East of England in 2004.

Secondly, England is a proud and historically united nation. Any moves to "regionalise" England would be met with fierce resistance, especially if the EU tin-foil-hatters run wild with it. It's the kind of thing that should be done within sovereign nations, but not to a nation within a nation-state (if that makes any sense). Diluting a national identity in this way is storing problems for the future.

Though you could point to Spain as an example where this has happened successfully. Castile is divided into several autonomous regions.

Last but not least. There's independence for all the constituent nations of the UK. And we all lived happily ever after. Right?

Obviously from a nationalist perspective, I would go with "English votes for English laws" in its rawest form (without double majority). It would be chaos. It would make Westminster look bad, borderline incompetent and could make the UK ungovernable in a Belgian sense.

However the pragmatist in me would point towards an English devolution settlement, preferably regional, as it is most workable (in theory).

Ultimately (and much more importantly) how devolution emerges and evolves in England is a matter for our English friends to decide. And decide alone.

Sunday, 3 April 2011

Welsh Assembly End of Term Awards : Part Two


The "Will Be Missed" Award

Joint Winners: Nerys Evans (Plaid, Mid & West Wales) and David Melding (Con, South Wales Central)

It's going to be a right old ding dong in Carmarthen West & South Pembs. come May, Nerys Evans, one of Plaid's "rising stars" is the most likely (in my opinion) to get knocked out of the three-way race. It won't be the end of her involvement in politics, being so young, but it will be a blow for Plaid should it happen.

David Melding isn't the top of the Conservative list seat for South Wales Central. If the Tories do particularly badly there and other parties, especially Labour, get a bigger share of the regional vote than they otherwise would, David will likely be squeezed out. The Assembly could lose one of, if not the best AMs.

Runners up:

Jane Davidson (Lab, Pontypridd)

One of the real performers of Welsh Labour down the years. I do believe that losing Jane will be a longer-term blow to Welsh Labour than they might expect. They're losing a very effective, likable and competent person who could very easily have been a Welsh Labour leader in the future.


Rhodri Morgan (Lab, Cardiff West)

Alun Michael was the first First Minister, Rhodri will be remembered as the first. His impact on Welsh politics shouldn't be underestimated, but it's unquestionable that he regained the Assembly some dignity that was denied it by the initial devolution settlement. I hope he enjoys his retirement.

Special Mention:

Brynle Williams
(Con, North Wales)


Long-serving regional member for North Wales, Brynle Williams, sadly died this week at the (young) age of 62. There was no doubting his commitment to North Wales in the Assembly and his passion for farming, even if he was more famous to the public (at large) as a face of the 2000 fuel protests. Other people will be able to deliver better tributes than I could for Brynle, this Wales Home article by Daran Hill for instance. The universally positive words from his Assembly colleagues speaks for itself.


Welcome Aboard Award for ones to watch in 2011-2016

Winner
: Vaughan Gething (Lab)

Should he win in Cardiff South and Penarth, Vaughan will become the first black AM. He's something of a rising star in Welsh Labour, having worked in trade union law and in other public and voluntary bodies, even at a fairly young age. This isn't a remarkable background for a Labour AM, but for me he'll be one to watch out for.

Runners Up: Mark Drakeford (Lab)

Almost certain to succeed Rhodri Morgan in Cardiff West. Obviously I would lean towards Neil McEvoy in this contest but there's no harm in having a strongly progressive voice, especially someone with the academic experience, in the Assembly.

Ron Davies (Plaid)

He faces a fight in Caerphilly and it's going to be close. However, should he win, I don't think I'll be the only one pleased to see Ron back in mainstream politics. The result in Caerphilly will give a good indication of how Plaid will do overall in the election. A bad night for Ron could mean a bad night for Plaid.

Wish You Were Here Award

Winner: Prof. Dylan Jones-Evans (Con)

The authority on the economy in Wales. He has the respect of people from across the political spectrum, including myself, and although I don't agree with many of the things he says, his steadfast commitment to improving the Welsh economy is contagious. We need (and deserve) people of the calibre of Prof. Jones-Evans in the Assembly.

Runner Up: Adam Price (Plaid)

It's not surprising that he isn't standing in May, being rather busy in the US and all. He's our Alex Salmond, but better. Like Prof. Jones-Evans I don't agree with everything he says, but he has the charisma and vision to take Wales forward. I'm convinced he'll stand for the Assembly in future and convinced that one day he can lead it too. Towards independence? Who knows. He's one of a few people, in my opinion, who would be able to make Plaid palatable to the Labour core vote in south Wales.


The Joe Calzaghe Award for maintaining tactful relations with Westminster

Winner: Carwyn Jones (Lab, Bridgend)

The newly elected UK Prime Minister decides to pop down to Cardiff Bay for a visit, something about a respect agenda. Supposedly the meeting between First and Prime Minister's was "frosty" to say the least. Carwyn is a rather large chap, and I'm sure he would've have a (c/o Paul Flynn) "bone crusher" special handshake for Dave.

Runners up: Dafydd Elis-Thomas (Plaid, Dwyfor Meirionydd)

Win the referendum then the next day decide that the Welsh Secretary post needs to go. The vitriolic response by Peter Hain made it all worth it. Successful troll is successful.

Andrew Davies (Lab, Swansea West)

Dr Bunsen vs Beaker. His questioning of Danny Alexander was "robust" shall we say.


The John Redwood Award for services to Welsh Nationalism

Winner: The Online Ultra-Unionist Community

Read "Betsan's Blog" or the Western Mail forums/article comments and you will read things about Wales and the Welsh that would've made Edward I blush. Reasoned criticism of the Assembly and WAG gets tangled up with other paranoid rants and conspiracy theories, usually (but not exclusively) involving the Welsh language.

It's come to the point where I believe bringing up Welsh in unrelated topics is a new "Godwin's Law" and a sign that someone has lost the debate.

Runners Up: Cheryl Gillan (Con, Chesham and Amersham)

She's a nice person, but Wales needs a better cabinet minister or we may as well not have one at all. I'm sure Wales would welcome a high speed rail link to London but Cheryl doesn't appear to like those new fangled things for her own constituency. How can an MP for one of the most wealthy and least deprived parts of the UK accurately represent people from some of the poorest at the UK top table?

Paul Matthews (True Wales)

Reverse psychology is great.

Mr/Mrs/Ms Cellophane 2007-2011

To be fair, there could've been quite a few names up for this one...............


Winner: Irene James (Lab, Islwyn)

I'm sorry.....you are?

"A member of the Health, Wellbeing and Local Government Committee; the Public Accounts Committee and the Sustainability Committee".

Oh. Alright then.

Runners up: Mohammad Ashgar (Con, South Wales East)

Shadow Heritage & Culture Minister:

"We want to bring the (Champions League) final here. You heard my word - 'final'. Which is one match, one or two matches. They can play a couple of matches around Wales - there are good grounds around . They could go to neighbouring cities also, no harm in that, but the final should be in Cardiff."

Yellow card..........yellow card..........red card.

John Griffiths (Lab, Newport East) and Lesley Griffiths (Lab, Wrexham)

As a scientist, I was really looking forward to a "National Science Academy" as stipulated in the One Wales agreement. What we got was a half-arsed promotion of STEM subjects in schools. Where's the "Academy" John? Lesley?

Saturday, 2 April 2011

Welsh Assembly End of Term Awards : Part One

The Diamond in the Rough Award for All-Round Ministerial Competence

Winner: Jocelyn Davies (Plaid, South Wales East)

It's very rarely a government minister can stand up and say. "I delivered everything I promised." Housing isn't one of the top portfolios all in all, but when the job is done right, it makes a difference to everyday lives. Despite attempts by Westminster to stifle moves towards ending right-to-buy, the Housing LCO was passed. There is definite groundwork for significant improvements in housing in Wales for the future thanks to Jocelyn's efforts.

Runners up: Jane Davidson (Lab, Pontypridd)

Wales is a far more sustainable place now than it was 10 years ago. Recycling rates have improved dramatically, building codes have sustainability and the environment at their heart and the youth of Wales have a much greater understanding of their role in maintaining their environment. Considering the limited scope of Assembly powers regarding energy, I doubt Jane managed to do everything she would've wanted to. But it's not a bad record all in all.

Elin Jones (Plaid, Ceredigion)

Is it any surprise that the three listed here are all women? Rural affairs isn't the most glamorous job in government, but Elin has taken to it in her stride. I would've chosen her as winner if it wasn't for the badger cull and Glastir "issues". Elin is someone who clearly understands her brief in depth, listens to the agricultural community and is more than capable of delivering as well.

The Samuel L. Jackson Award for "gettin' shit done"

Winner : Jane Hutt (Lab, Vale of Glamorgan)

A surprise choice? Knowing that there were swingeing cuts coming down the line would've made the job of Finance Minister something of a poisoned chalice. Jane has managed to pass a budget that involved difficult decisions but was fair, balanced and spread the cuts over a wider area than that in England. No easy task and deserves more credit than was given.

Runners up: Leighton Andrews (Lab, Rhondda)

Despite the disappointing PISA results, Leighton has shown he isn't someone who rests on his laurels. Some big changes Welsh education are on the way. He's tackled several issues head on, including the thorny issue of Higher Education funding and has shown he isn't afraid to use muscle when it's needed, whether that's dealing with the teaching unions or with coalition partners.

Carl Sargeant (Lab, Alyn & Deeside)

Anglesey Council has had ongoing problems for decades. Carl has finally managed to get a grip on the situation that threatened to get out of control. It's a pretty big step that Cardiff Bay should (de-facto) take over the running of a council, considering the disproportionate power and influence local authorities wield in Wales. Carl has shown he isn't afraid to take big decisions when all other avenues have been exhausted.

The Award for Effective Backbenchery

Winner
: Alun Davies (Lab, Mid & West Wales)

Loud, bordering on obnoxious (by AM standards), not afraid to push for answers. The beast of Blaenau Gwent?

Runners up:

Johnathan Morgan (Con, Cardiff North)

An AM with a deep-seated and genuine concern about Welsh health services, especially mental heath, resulting in an LCO.

Dai Lloyd (Plaid, South Wales West)

Made good use of the short debates, always sharp and asks the right questions.

The Comfy Chair Award for Assembly Inquisition

Winner: The Welsh Liberal Democrats

You can guarantee the best researched and most probing questions in the Siambr will come from the Welsh Lib Dems. They are annoying. They are like the smug know-it-all swot at the front of the class that demolishes your arguments without breaking a sweat. This is a good thing and what we should expect and want from the opposition.

Best Party Leader

Winner: Kirsty Williams (Lib Dem, Brecon & Radnor)

She's grown in stature over this Assembly term. She isn't afraid to ask difficult questions and has made One Wales ministers sweat on more than one occasion. She has the mannerisms of a shrill sixth-former sometimes, and it grates, but there's no denying she's an effective leader of an effective party of opposition in the Assembly. She doesn't deserve to be punished in May for her UK colleagues actions.

Runner Up
: Ieuan Wyn Jones (Plaid, Ynys Mon)


Perhaps he's not the best minister. Perhaps he's too laid back, too glib. What you cannot argue with is that he's a good "manager" and a good leader. He's led Plaid to power at national level for the first time and by and large they've delivered. He's also been an excellent transport minister, but his record as economy minister (despite the difficult nature of the brief) leaves a lot to be desired, even if it isn't as bad under detailed scrutiny as his detractors would say.

Best Parliamentarian

Winner: David Melding (Con, South Wales Central)

The Welsh Conservatives "thinker". David is someone I can respect. He has a pragmatic (perhaps even progressive) attitude towards devolution, a sharp mind, and is one of the first people you can point to as the example of an all round "good AM" when the quality of AMs is criticised.

Runners up: Gareth Jones (Plaid, Aberconwy)

He's understated, but Gareth Jones is one of the best committee chairs in the Assembly. There's no doubting his commitment to the Assembly as an institution and in making the most of scrutiny.

Dafydd Elis-Thomas (Plaid, Dwyfor Meirionnydd)

Mr Assembly himself. A constant steady hand at the heart of Assembly procedure. Perhaps the role of Llywydd

Most Effective Campaigner

Winner: Ann Jones (Lab, Vale of Clwyd)

It's very rare that a campaign ends with a new law. Ann managed to do it by ensuring new homes in Wales will have fire sprinkler systems fitted, saving many lives in future. That's what I call an "effective campaigner".

Runners up:

Bethan Jenkins (Plaid, South Wales West) – Swansea Visteon pensions justice.

Jeff Cuthbert (Lab, Caerphilly) – Fought tenaciously on the subject of disabled access to railway stations.

Peter Black (Lib Dem, South Wales West) – A bit of a woolly subject, but at least he opposed the badger cull using evidence not emotion.

...................PART TWO TOMORROW
.....................