Monday 5 September 2011

"The Higgitt Question" - A response from the man himself


Last month, I blogged about a discussion in a Wales Home comments section that stemmed from an article about the Welsh language by Blog Banw's Adam Jones. Imagine my surprise when Adam Higgitt himself took the time and effort to respond to my blog yesterday.

This was very much appreciated and a class act.



Due to Blogger's comments section limitations, I've decided to post Adam's response in full here because it deserves to be read. As you would expect Adam makes a brilliant case even if there are some parts I don't agree with. It certainly deserves a proper response and I will endeavor to do so in the near future.


A Background


The exact quote from Wales Home:
I find myself asking: what are these differences which are apparently so fundamental as to positively compel a completely different constitutional settlement and yet which cannot be described – by anyone?


Now I took "constitutional settlement" to mean many things: devolution, devolution-max, a new form of British federalism, American-style federalism, German-style federalism, confederalism and of course independence.


Adam's response implies he was referring exclusively to independence. My blogpost was trying to address any sort of difference between Wales, England and the rest of the UK that may warrant a "different" policy approach at a Welsh level or economically, historically (religion/non-conformism) or culturally (sport/culture) set Wales as a nation apart from England as a nation.


I summed this up as a question (and you could easily replace Wales and England with Scotland, Catalonia, Spain etc.)
What are the differences between Wales and England and why do they warrant a separate constitutional settlement?


Here's the original Wales Home article by Blog Banw


Here's my "Higgitt Question" blog from August.


Here's Adam Higgitt's response posted yesterday afternoon:


Owen


I’m sorry I’ve only just got around to seeing this, as a reply now seems somewhat tardy. However, since I’ve never before had a question named after me (and probably won’t again) I feel it’s in order.


I’m really pleased that you’ve given this answer, but I should add at the start of my reply (because, I’m sorry to say, this is a very long reply) that it wasn’t really the question I posed. What I was really seeking illumination on was: what is different about the Welsh as a people such that their own separate state is the optimum moral or practical solution? It is a subtle difference, but to my mind an important one. It strikes me that to be a nationalist one has to have some sort of conception of particularity or specialness of the people who comprise the nation in question: after all, if one didn’t believe that something that defined their group, it could not surely be a group?


It seems to me that this “root” question – what is special/different about the Welsh as a people – has to be addressed before any others. If not, you fall into the same circular trap that your response does at times (i.e Wales is different, therefore we should be treated differently). The problem with such circular argument is that it is incapable of deducing cause from correlation, and hence can’t get to the nub.


Your first “exhibit” – voting patterns - is a case in point. Wales’s more left-wing leanings are surely a function, not a cause, of an idea of Welsh peculiarity. Merely saying “Wales is a [more] centre-left nation” is a statement of bald psephological fact – it doesn’t address why this is so. There is another serious grievance with this in that, by only looking at nation-level voting patterns, you come up with the answer you want. The north east of England, for example, is an even more Labour-leaning part of the UK than Wales. So is the north west. Does this mean that both have a case to become separate states? What about Yorkshire and the Humber, which was more Labour-leaning until recently? What happens if Wales continues along the pattern of the last couple of elections (don’t forget that the Conservatives topped the poll in Wales in 2009) and exhibits a greater proclivity to vote Tory? Conversely, what about those parts of Wales, like the north east and south east coastal strips, that behave very much like (your notion of) England? Why should they be lumped in with the valleys and urban areas that vote Labour much the same as former coalfield areas and cities in England do? Welsh voting patterns, if you break it down, are a function of very conventionally British socio-economic factors, albeit operating counter-cyclically to the "mother" polity at times.


You say that Welsh and Scottish nationalism are less Eurosceptic than English and British nationalism. Perhaps so, but given all of those, with the exception of Scottish nationalism, are (presently) marginal electoral forces, I’m not sure what this helps to establish. The Welsh as a people appear to be only slightly less Eurosceptic than the English, and the embrace of Scottish and Welsh nationalism of Europe was, as we know, a tactical move, designed (in the sentiment of Dafydd Wigley) to remove the taint of separatism. It nonetheless raises an important question about a movement that wants independence from the British union but is outwardly enthusiastic about ceding a very large amount of independence to the European Union. But that’s probably for another discussion.


On public services, I think you have half a point. But this is difference born or Welsh relative rurality or sparsity of population. Any modern and intelligent constitutional settlement ought to be capable of adjusting policy to reflect such physical differences. Moreover, it’s only true in some parts of Wales. In others, there is the concentration of population much like urban areas of England. Surely what we need is not a choice between an all-UK approach or an all-Wales approach, but something that reflects the local reality? We need a more localist approach than either a centralised British or Welsh state can offer.


You then go onto suggest that “middle-Wales” is less upwardly-mobile and public-sector facing. Even if this is so, most agree that Wales needs a larger and more dynamic private sector, so the aspiration here is to be more like England, not less. Your point about prams and Adare street is a good one, but I don’t think this is to do with social leveling – it is merely a product of the fact that Wales is a country of 3 million rather than 60 million. Besides, didn’t I see pictures of David Cameron pushing a pram down his local high street recently?


As for Welsh social egalitarianism, I suspect this is more a working-class and less a national thing. Again, I’d suggest a comparison with England’s ex-coalfield areas, as well as her upland farming areas might be illuminating. I don’t believe the Welsh have a different idea about the type of people who ought to sit at the top table - in fact, what is striking about devolved politics is how often it seems to mimic British politics.


You are right that the composition of the Welsh economy is different from that of England’s. Actually, to be more accurate, it is different from London’s in the way you describe (England, by the way, doesn’t have several global cities, it has one; even Greater Manchester’s population is a mere one-quarter that of London’s, Leeds is one-tenth the size and Birmingham, while larger, is just another provincial European city. Belfast, for the record, is smaller than Cardiff and only slightly larger than Swansea). The economy of the north east of England shares a lot of similarities with Wales, The economy of the West Midlands is different from both London and Wales/NE England. The south west of England is different again. One size doesn’t fit all these different areas, but that doesn’t in itself mean they each need to be separate states, or that a UK-wide macroeconomic policy is incapable of meeting all those different needs, any more than an all-Wales macroeconomic policy ought to be flexible enough to cater for the prosperous south east and north east of Wales, and still take care of the Valleys and west Wales.


I can’t comment on your observations about matriarchy vs rule of law because I don’t know of any evidence to support them. But they are, at least, an attempt to identify something qualitatively different in the values, customs and sentiments of the Welsh as a people.


You are right about the Welsh language. Along with its associated culture, it is one of the very few things that is unambiguously distinctively Welsh. Of course, as you note, Wales is also very extensively English-speaking, and the English language is very much part of Welsh culture. Should Wales have “ultimate custodianship” of the Welsh language? I believe so. Does this require a separate state? I doubt that, and the existence of numerous bilingual and multilingual states suggests that it is not necessary.


As for sport, no it certainly isn’t as clear-cut as your opening sentences imply. I’m afraid that your following observations on culture and sport don’t strike me as especially valid or grounded in evidence. And they certainly don’t pass the “we therefore need a separate state” test. As for religion, I very much hope we have definitively moved beyond the era when peoples and states are divided according to religion.


Your comments on laws fall into the “ought” rather than the “is” category: it is something you hope to see as opposed to something that is in place and differentiates the Welsh.


On climate change, I find this analysis rather odd. Yes, Wales has certain natural assets that can be brought to bear in pursuit of a more sustainable mix of energy production, and devolution (with amendments) should be more than flexible enough to tailor policy accordingly. But on the broader picture, Wales, England, the rest of the British Isles and indeed most of Europe are in exactly the same position. What is needed here is greater co-ordination to reduce emissions. England’s additional need for climate change mitigation is a miniscule issue by comparison, and certainly doesn’t mean that Wales and England are incompatible as joint members of a political union.


On sub-national divisions, again I fail to see the point you are trying to make. Yes, attempts have been made to address the relative underperformance of west Wales and the Valleys, just as (in many cases exactly the same) attempts have been made to address similarly identified malaise in Merseyside, Cornwall and several other English regions. And I’m sorry to tell you that the gap between east and west Wales is also widening.


***


Please don’t get me wrong: there are important areas in which Wales as a whole is different from England as a whole. It is, by and large more rural and sparsely populated. It is more mountainous. It has commensurately poorer communications links. It has a greater proportion of relatively depressed post-industrial areas. And it has a unique and historic language and associated culture. But none of these, individually or collectively make the case for a separate Welsh state (as opposed to, say, a modern federal state) and none do justice to the real issue, namely the need for form of government that recognises the substantial differences that exist within Wales and within England and the commonalities that exist between parts of these two countries. A lot of problems you have described are functions of a historically over-centralised British state. I fail to see how these will be fixed by supplanting it with an over-centralised Welsh state.


Best


Adam

12 comments:

  1. Interesting article. Ignoring the (rather spurious) notion that there *must* be 'differences which are apparently so fundamental as to positively compel a completely different constitutional settlement', I think the honest response (from a welsh nationalist perspective) runs something like this:
    In an ideal world, a localised system of government covering all the regions and nations of the earth, taking account of differing historical cultural and crucially economic cicrumstances, with provision for mutual support and collective (i.e continent-wide, global) decision-making on big issues like climate say, would be great. (Am I right in thinking that this would be roughly your stance, Higgitt?)
    It would certainly be better for Wales than anything currently on offer (including independence within the EU.)

    However pursuing this worthy aspiration is *not* a worthwhile use of time and effort, as such a system is not on the cards, and would not garner support beyond a certain segment of the population i.e the best way to tackle the problems, which as you rightly point out, are due to a 'historically over-centralised British state' would be via welsh independence, as this is the only form of greater localism at all likely to win widespread support amongst the populace. A choice for the lesser of two evils if you like.
    You consistently (and a little idealistically) overlook the important fact that it is as 'welsh' that people self-identify (overwhelmingly so for welsh-born people), and that although this is not a philosophical reason for the creation of a welsh state, it *is* the reason people would vote for it, all else being equal. (.....I believe: at present though, all else is not equal - the economic situation means that most people perceive continuation of the union as the safe option, although this is not true in Scotland)

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  2. "Now I took "constitutional settlement" to mean many things; devolution, devolution-max, a new form of British federalism, American-style federalism, German-style federalism, confederalism and of course independence. "

    An entirely fair point, and one on which you have me bang to rights. I wasn't clear in my original formulation. But, to be so now, I do mean independence. I'm in favour of a new constitutional settlement for Wales (and, indeed, everywhere else).

    But many thanks for cobbling together my multi-part response and giving it house room on your site. I genuinely look forward to reading your reply.

    Best

    Adam

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  3. Anon

    "Idealistic" is a criticism I'll happily accept. I have greater difficulty accepting that my preferred settlement is "not on the cards". If that were the criterion, those founders of Plaid Genedlaethol Cymru in 1925 would have packed up and gone home before they even got started. In fact, with support for that particular outcome still persistently the least popular, one might argue on your basis that today's Plaid activists should do the same. We have to argue for the solution we think is right, even if it isn't popular or likely any time soon.

    People do self-identify as Welsh. They also self-identify as British, European or Cardi, Cardiffian, Gog and so on. As you rightly say, none are sufficient justification for statehood.

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  4. Further to my points above (anonymous, 19:54), and ignoring the fact that I believe you've set false parametres to this debate: you (Higgitt) ask what it is about Wales that makes it merit independence. A list is compiled, and you give a rebuttal to all the individual items on that list. What you may have missed though, is that the 'uniqueness' of Wales lies in the confluence of all the items on the list. None of those things (bar the language, granted) is in and of itself unique/special/whatever, but the whole taken together is what creates Wales. (Obvious, I know, but just wanted to ensure that starting-point is clear)

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  5. To 21:19: yes, but the distinction lies in the fact that whilst self-identifying as European, Cardi, Cardiffian or whatever, *most* people do not believe these identities are sufficient for the creation of a nation-state: this is not the case with Welsh and British. The choice is thus reduced to these two, and the lesser of two-evils, no? Even with your idealism, you would surely not reject a gradual incrementalism on the way to localism, starting with independence for the stateless nations of Europe?

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  6. Anon

    Most people do not appear to believe that Wales should be a state - support for that particular constitutional outcome has never, to my knowledge, risen about about 14% in any reputable poll, and has always been the most unpopular option of any posited.

    Secondly, I don't accept that a Welsh state is a localist outcome.

    On your earlier comment, lots of places might be considered to be unique by virtue of a confluence of factors - it doesn't mean they want to or should be full independent sovereign states. I'm not sure I missed the sum-greater-than-its-part element; in fact this is in my last but one sentence.

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  7. Adam,

    "Secondly, I don't accept that a Welsh state is a localist outcome."

    There are English councils with more citizens than Wales as a whole, would a 'United states of Birmingham' not a be a localist outcome?

    And I assume this localism agenda is newly found (nothing wrong with that), because the manifesto you wrote for Welsh Labour was one of the most centralising we have had, fresh from the bonfire of the quangoes et al.

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  8. Anon

    "There are English councils with more citizens than Wales as a whole, would a 'United states of Birmingham' not a be a localist outcome?"

    No there aren't. Birmingham is the largest local authority by population in England, with a population just over 1 million.

    "the manifesto you wrote for Welsh Labour was one of the most centralising we have had, fresh from the bonfire of the quangoes et al.

    That's not right, either. What specific policies did you have in mind?

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  9. (Anon21:31 again)
    I accept that most people at present do not favour independence from amidst various constitutional options, however the significant thing is that most (all) people would see it as an entirely valid and to-be-expected option.
    ' I don't accept that a Welsh state is a localist outcome' - you'll have to do a little better than that! I never posited a welsh state as a localist outcome, merely one that a localist *should* support when faced with a choice between Wales and Britain as sovereign states.
    'lots of places might be considered to be unique by virtue of a confluence of factors - it doesn't mean they want to or should be full independent sovereign states' - indeed, I would say that *all* places are unique for this reason! And you have not answered the basic point that this 'uniqueness' is not the reason (although it may be a reason) why any region should become sovereign states: but rather, the fact that the inhabitants of the region wish for it to be one. That is the onus on nationalists who wish to change the status quo.
    (If I were an idealist like you, I would bemoan the fact that britnats for example, have the pleasure of only defending the status quo, and not even having to do a good job at it: its entirely unfair and not a good basis for debate at all!)

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  10. I almost replied to the origional comment thread on Waleshome but time didn't permit, so here goes this time.

    Althought one of the anons above argue that you are somewhat of a lone voice regarding the ideas you put forward about making govt' as local as possible, I actually think that there is much more support for the general principle thatn is against - bring govt. as close to the people being governed seems a pretty sound principle to me.
    I think where perhaps some confusion which has led to a lot of debate particuarly between yourself and commenters who believe in an independant Wales state, is at what level would the over arching (if we can call it that) lie. I'll take a bit of time to explain what I mean by that as I'm not sure how good a job I'll do of expressing what I mean by that.

    We all (in general) are dominated by the idea of a nation state being where the ultimate power lies and power may or may not beind devolved downwards to more local levels from that centeral source. OF course the concept of the EU confuses this (where in a way power has been devolved upwards?!) but leaving that aside for a moment, I think most people who want an independent Welsh state also believe in govt. on a much more local level only that that power would be devolved down from a "sovereign" over arching indepdent Wales rather than the UK.

    In some of your previous comments you have mentioned how Welsh nationalists are lost in some sort of 19th century concept of a nation state (I'm saying this from a vague memory of reading your comment on Waleshome so apologies if I'm misquoting you!!). Am I right therfore that you neither believe in a British or Welsh over arching state but something much more radical? I'm not quite sure what this would be - even if we start at the most local level and work up the buck has to stop somewhere, e.g. who sits on the UN? Where does the power over foreign policy lie?

    I think this confusion is at least partly to blame for why there isn't a lot more ageeement between what you propse and what some of the other commenters say? I may well of course be completely misreading it!

    I think that most of the commentators who believe in an independent Wales have junped to the conclusion that you think the answers to the questions above would be the UK, but I'm not sure the answer would be as simple as that?

    Regards

    DaiTwp

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  11. "I never posited a welsh state as a localist outcome, merely one that a localist *should* support when faced with a choice between Wales and Britain as sovereign states."

    Fair enough on the first part. On the second, I don't accept that the choice should be as you present it. Indeed, as the European project develops, I think that a radical localist approach will become more viable and more popular.

    "niqueness' is not the reason (although it may be a reason) why any region should become sovereign states: but rather, the fact that the inhabitants of the region wish for it to be one"

    Apologies - I may not have expressed myself clearly here. I do not believe that specialness ought to be the basis on which territorial jurisdictions ought to be determined. I very much agree that it is for the people within a given territory to say what their constitutional settlement ought to be. But I assume that nationalists believe there is something special/different about their nation. I'm just trying to work out what that is.

    The point about focusing on what Welsh nationalists is that they want to change the status quo. I suppose what I'm saying is: if the status quo is up for grabs let's look at options other than a unitary Welsh state, an arrangement that I don;t think will serve the people of Wales very well. That doesn't mean I think the British state is working brilliantly. It does mean that I accept that the British state is the status quo and therefore, by definition is something to be changed away from, not into.

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  12. Dai

    "Am I right therfore that you neither believe in a British or Welsh over arching state but something much more radical? I'm not quite sure what this would be - even if we start at the most local level and work up the buck has to stop somewhere, e.g. who sits on the UN? Where does the power over foreign policy lie?"

    You are right to suppose that I'm trying (perhaps struggling might be a better description) to imagine a new approach to government where sovereignty as we have always understood it is not the first and last word on where power (as in a source of legitimacy recognised by other sovereign states) resides. It's an idea that, rather than this big, monolithic thing called sovereignty that is owned by one actor and contracted out and down as it sees fit, the source of authority lives at the bottom and is passed up and along in a series of very stable, often highly binding bilateral and multilateral agreements. So for foreign policy, there would be a federation of localities that collectively have a recognised status as a single international actor.

    There has been some academic work done on this that I'm trying to track down. But part of it stems from a conversation that I had with a very senior Irish nationalist during my Northern Ireland days. When I asked him what his "endgame" was he replied that he could see a world where either side of the Northern Ireland border shared a currency, most laws, and had completely open borders with no impediment to the movement of any goods, services, people and capital. At that point, he remarked "will it matter whether the six counties are part of the Irish state or the British state?" I think we can imagine something not too dissimilar for Wales: we get to a point where independence/sovereignty is so "thin" in terms of what any national government can do with it, that it won't really matter that much. My Irish nationalist interviewee was thinking very much in terms of a strong, highly integrated European super-state. I think that we can go one better than that.

    Sorry, that's a bit of a ramble. I don't pretend to have the answers. Just a sketch of an idea that is worth exploring.

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